Nancy may avoid prison altogether, if she testifies properly

Nancy Salzman with her lawyers David Stern and Robert Soloway.

Nancy Salzman is in the clear.

She avoided being charged in the superseding indictment and is now working for the prosecution – against Keith Raniere, Clare Bronfman, Allison Mack, Kathy Russell and her own daughter, Lauren Salzman – who she recruited into Nxivm, then called Executive Success Programs, in 1998.

Why did Nancy take her plea deal a day before the superseding indictment came down?

It could be because she had cancer and is still on the long, hard, precarious road of recovery. The stress of a trial might have caused a fatal relapse.

It could have been to save her other daughter, Michelle, and son-in-law, Ben Myers, from indictment, though this seems less likely since no new defendants were named in the superseding indictment.

It was interesting that her attorneys, David Stern and Robert Soloway, did not tell other Nxivm defense team attorneys that Nancy flipped. The Albany Times Union reported that they found out about it from media reports.

It may not have been a surprise to them altogether. There were hints for months. Frank Report reported that Nancy was rumored to be seeking a plea deal since last September.

Most likely, Nancy’s plea deal was in the works for a while and possibly the superseding indictment was only awaiting Nancy’s guilty plea before being unsealed. It was unsealed on the same day Nancy pleaded guilty.

Perhaps the reason Nancy flipped when she did is contained in the superseding indictment itself.  In the superseding, Keith Raniere is charged with possession of child porn.  This is based on 10-year-old photographs/videos of a then-15-year-old Mexican girl, still in Nxivm and DOS, whose name I am currently withholding.

Possibly for the safety of the public, she deserves to be named, despite being an alleged sex crime victim, for this 15-year-old girl grew up to be one of Raniere’s First Line DOS Slave Masters – tasked with recruiting women into the sex trafficking cult that brands and blackmails women. She was the woman he famously asked to find him “Fuck toys” to keep him energized.

She also happens to be the sister of the woman who was confined to her room for 18 months – and she aided and abetted in her sister’s imprisonment.

Kristin Keeffe brought up the fact that this girl was possibly having sex with Keith in a conversation recorded by Barbara Bouchey and filed with NY State Supreme Court in 2015 in connection with the bogus computer trespassing case against Bouchey.

Several years earlier, in an explosive post made by someone using the moniker, “the Rat”, readers of John Tighe’s blog, Saratoga In Decline, learned that this girl and her sisters were possibly victims of Raniere’s sex crimes – and that Pam Cafritz aided and abetted Keith – and that their then underage brother took pornographic photos or videos of his sisters at Keith Raniere’s command.

Apropos of that, I suspect that Nancy may have taken her plea deal because of the images of the 15-year-old old girl the feds found.

Where did they find it?  I suspect the Feds found this child porn evidence of the 15-year-old girl on one of the 80 devices seized at Nancy’s house during their raid on March 27, 2018.  If child porn was found at Nancy’s house, she might have been charged with possessing child porn – just like Raniere.

She might have leaped from facing 3-5 years to 15 years or more – with the flick of a pen on a superseding indictment.  Maybe this was the tipping point that induced Nancy to plead guilty.

Perhaps Nancy tried to persuade Lauren to hop aboard the plea deal bus.  Lauren does not seem to be there. Maybe Lauren will wise up and make a deal sooner rather than later.

A legal expert with experience in federal plea deals told Frank Report that he believes Lauren can craft a deal not dissimilar to her mother’s – with possibly just a year longer sentence.

“Each successive plea deal will be a little bit worse. The first one to make a deal usually gets the best deal,” he said.

Lauren could likely wangle a deal in the 3.5-year to 4-year range in prison, if she acts soon.  Timing is critical and each plea deal will be worse for the defendants who choose not to go to trial.

Another legal expert said he believes Nancy will not go to prison.

He told Frank Report that if Nancy testifies truthfully for the prosecution, they will argue at her sentencing – which will take place after the trial – that the judge should make a “downward departure” from sentencing guidelines.

Nancy pleaded guilty to one count of racketeering conspiracy, which comes with a maximum 20 year sentence.  She will not get the maximum. Sentencing guidelines – which the judge is free to depart from – call for a sentence of 33– 41 months.

If she were sentenced to prison, Nancy could shave off 15 percent with good behavior. Thus, if the sentencing guidelines are followed, it’s possible that Nancy could do a little over two years.

But, the prosecution can urge the judge to give her a downward departure from the guidelines. Nancy can round up letters from friends, family and supporters to state she has done many good things.  Nancy has no prior criminal record and is 64 years old. She could allocute persuasively before the judge about the remorse she feels.

The judge could easily make a downward departure and sentence her to 18 months or a year. If he went down to that  – there would be no reason he could not order that that year sentence be served under home confinement.

If Nancy testifies well and the Nxivm crew are convicted at trial – including perhaps her own daughter – Nancy may never see a day in prison.

That seems more likely today than ever before.



About the author

Frank Parlato


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  • Moria Penza: surely it was a clerical error that Pea On You was omitted from the Superseding Indictment? Or was it a matter of her clearly dimenished mental capacity (dumb as a box of rocks) which allowed her to escape prosecution? Or perhaps the fact that she gave up the location of her Vantard on her Insta post is being rewarded? That must be a heavy burden, Pea, to know that your narcissism compelled you to post an easily identifiable land mark by which the Federales were able to locate all of the current defendants? Tisk tisk Pea. If not for you the entire NXIVM gang would be in Wakaya instead of doing 15 to life.

    • Pea has no burden, the only reason why the Federales arrested him was because of the fbi and government lieing about so called evidence of sex trafficking or they never would of arrested him

  • Nancy is a great and evil betrayer of people who loved her. She is also the only one who will be convicted. All the others will be acquitted.

  • The good news is if Nancy Salzman is not in prison she can be served successfully and sued in civil court.

    Anyone that has been thinking about suing good old Nancy contact a plaintiffs attorney immediately before the line starts forming.

    ASAP contact an attorney!!!!!!!!


    I have sympathy for many of the people that Raniere manipulated, Nancy Salzman is not one of them. She broke the most sacred natural bond that exists in nature; A mother always protects her young. Nancy failed to do what all mammals are biologically programed to do via evolution.

    Nancy Salzman turned her both her daughters over to Keith Raniere a man she herself bed.

    Nancy Salzman does not deserve sympathy or even pitty.

  • Any ideas if the device containing the pornographic images will be ided during trial and the location of where it was found be entered as an exhibit etc? It could have come from 8 Hale aka the Library.

    My guess is the terms of her bail are still in force? She is still unable to travel at will until after sentencing?

    Lastly any speculation on who John Doe 1 and 2 could be? I was wondering if it could actually have been Alex and Emi? or Edgar and Emi? or any combination thereof. It had to be men pretty high up and Jimmy Del Negro is too dumb to be a mole. Also, I would suspect they were in the Albany area most of the time. Maybe even Ben Myers and Steve Ose.

  • Kristen Keeffe should be given the most credit for bringing down Raniere & company ! I wonder if she will testify ..?

    • Keefe gave all the informations she had to Bouchey because she didn t trust the Albany s local autorities and belived it was not her role anymore to alert people about Raniere s true evil self (she has to hide). Also some informations let us believe she hides herself and her son in Ireland. So I am not sure she plays active role now or that she will testify.

  • Risky business taking on the wrath of Clare to support Nancy Salzman getting a shorter sentence. People must either have deep pockets or nothing to lose to throw their lot in with Nancy.

  • I can’t remember where I read it yesterday, but the article said that Nancy will not testify for the prosecution. I don’t know why they stated that.

    I think Nancy’s speech yesterday was so cliche “I’ve done some soul searching…if I could take it all back, but I can’t “. Surely she could have done better than that.

      • Yes exactly. I thought it was strange some news website stated she wouldn’t. Wonder if she will tell the truth or set someone up. This woman is untrustworthy. Her response was so generic.

    • I’m with you.
      Clare has no moral, well, decent moral standard.
      When push comes to shove, Clare will take care of Clare.
      Either she will escape to Fiji, she has enough money and illegal connections to arrange that, or, as the clock winds down, she will do a scramble to save herself and herself only.
      Why isn’t her dear sister Sara at her side? Or her mother? This family only thinks of themselves.

About the Author

Frank Parlato is an investigative journalist.

His work has been cited in hundreds of news outlets, like The New York Times, The Daily Mail, VICE News, CBS News, Fox News, New York Post, New York Daily News, Oxygen, Rolling Stone, People Magazine, The Sun, The Times of London, CBS Inside Edition, among many others in all five continents.

His work to expose and take down NXIVM is featured in books like “Captive” by Catherine Oxenberg, “Scarred” by Sarah Edmonson, “The Program” by Toni Natalie, and “NXIVM. La Secta Que Sedujo al Poder en México” by Juan Alberto Vasquez.

Parlato has been prominently featured on HBO’s docuseries “The Vow” and was the lead investigator and coordinating producer for Investigation Discovery’s “The Lost Women of NXIVM.” Parlato was also credited in the Starz docuseries "Seduced" for saving 'slave' women from being branded and escaping the sex-slave cult known as DOS.

Additionally, Parlato’s coverage of the group OneTaste, starting in 2018, helped spark an FBI investigation, which led to indictments of two of its leaders in 2023.

Parlato appeared on the Nancy Grace Show, Beyond the Headlines with Gretchen Carlson, Dr. Oz, American Greed, Dateline NBC, and NBC Nightly News with Lester Holt, where Parlato conducted the first-ever interview with Keith Raniere after his arrest. This was ironic, as many credit Parlato as one of the primary architects of his arrest and the cratering of the cult he founded.

Parlato is a consulting producer and appears in TNT's The Heiress and the Sex Cult, which premiered on May 22, 2022. Most recently, he consulted and appeared on Tubi's "Branded and Brainwashed: Inside NXIVM," which aired January, 2023.

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