It has been now two years since the four as-yet-to-be-sentenced NXIVM defendants pleaded guilty. Dates have been set in the past, but for various reasons, including COVID 19, the court postponed them.
That may change soon. According to a report in the New York Law Journal, the first jury trial of the year in the Eastern District of New York is set to start Monday, April 12, “Amid Precautions.”
What this means is that the court is opening up – and that Nancy and Lauren Salzman, Kathy Russell and Allison Mack will be sentenced soon, perhaps by the end of May.
Since none of the charges they pleaded to come with minimum sentences, they are facing sentences from zero to the maximum.
For Mack and Lauren Salzman, the maxi is 40 years [They each have two counts: racketeering and racketeering conspiracy – each of which has a 20-year max that could run consecutively]. Nancy pleaded to one count of racketeering conspiracy, with a20 years max.
Russell faces up to 10 years.
Of course, the federal sentencing guidelines for their crimes and past records are far lower than the maximum sentence, but Judge Nicholas Garaufis has already demonstrated that in the NXIVM case, he is not bound by guidelines.
He sentenced Clare Bronfman to triple the sentencing guidelines because he perceived she was willfully blind about Raniere’s true nature, which he thinks is a blend, I gather from the judge’s statements, of cupidity, rascality, villainy, incorrigibility, immorality, degeneracy and an egregiously concupiscent and vilely, ignoble personality – and because she refused to disavow him.
The plea deals of Mack and Lauren Salzman included cooperation agreements where they flatly disavowed Raniere. This might prompt the prosecution to recommend leniency for these two.
In Lauren’s case, she testified at his trial and the judge ruled that she was nearing hysteria and a breakdown and stopped the cross-examination. If he thinks Lauren deserves forgiveness and mercy, he will likely sentence her accordingly.
Mack is more problematic. Her side of the story was never told. She did not testify, and two of the witnesses at trial, Nicole and Jessica Joan, had some pretty damning things to say about her, to which she could not defend or rebut since she was not on trial. She may say she learned her lesson but the witnesses made her look like a monster.
Lauren, I predict, is more likely to get a lenient sentence than Mack, but both have a chance to persuade the judge they are truly reformed [i.e., they disavow Raniere].
If the judge’s sentencing of Clare Bronfman is any indicator, both women will do well to decry their former lover and admit they now realize they were wrong to follow him and that he is, of course, a scoundrel of the lowest order, something that they now know despite the fact that they once thought he was the greatest man in the world.
Raniere was sentenced to 120 years by this judge if that is any hint about how he feels about him. When you consider that no one was killed, physically lost an arm or a leg or even a gall bladder and that the worst physical harm was some scarification which people do voluntarily all the time but not with his initials near their genitals, one has to think it is not a kind view Judge Garaufis has of the man who calls himself Vanguard.
Murderers, rapists, robbers who robbed at gunpoint and shot their victims, persons who maimed others and destroy lives forever, get lower sentences. As bad as some of the victims had it psychologically, there is none who cannot recover their life over time. [Frank Report wishes that all of them do sooner rather than later if they have not done so already.]
I am not saying that Raniere’s 120-year sentence is wrong or right, but I am saying that the judge sees a kind of evil in Raniere that is far worse than the crimes of which he was convicted might suggest.
When it comes to sentencing, statements the defendants say that shine a bad light on Raniere will be potentially helpful since they know the judge thinks he is a rotten and despicable character, a critter without an ounce of manliness, a cowardly criminal who took advantage of women and girls to the degree that he should never see freedom again.
Should Allison get up there at sentencing and say, “While I know Keith did wrong, there was a side of Keith that was well-intended and though we did evil, he is not pure evil, and neither am I” – which is probably the truth of what she feels – she risks years of her life in prison.
If she says, “Keith is pure evil, and he led me to do the terrible things that I did and now as a woman, I realize I was 100 percent wrong to listen to him and participate in his horrible criminal enterprise” – which is probably not exactly how she feels – she has a better chance at leniency.
What would you do?
Nancy Salzman, on the other hand, is smart enough to disavow Keith in glowing language and will mince no words denouncing him and telling the judge how she was deceived for years by this purely evil man.
The problem is it is not true. She was not deceived. She knew the rascal and what he was up to all along. She made it possible for him to do whatever he did do, good or bad.
The judge might realize that she, like Clare Bronfman, was one of the linchpins of the organization – and that without her, there would have been no NXIVM, and hand her a harsher sentence than her daughter.
As for Kathy Russell, she has not said a word about Raniere, good or bad, since taking her plea deal. She has the lightest charges and, in a merciful world – as a small player in the greater Nxivm world – she should not be imprisoned, in my opinion. That is, however, up to the judge to decide. It may depend on whether Kathy actually denounces Raniere at her sentencing or avoids talking about him and merely apologizes for her own specific crimes.
This may be the most interesting bet of all – will Kathy denounce her Vanguard?
In the case of Lauren Salzman, the judge stopped her cross-examination after she started crying, an issue that will be raised on Raniere’s appeal. To sentence her too harshly suggests the judge did not believe her tears.
I predict, two to four years for Lauren, 5 to 7 for Allison, 5 to 9 for Nancy, and for Kathy, 1-3 years.
If I were the judge, my sentences would likely be probation for all. Not that they did not do wrong but Nancy is ailing, Lauren and Allison have been on home arrest for three years and their crimes of conviction do not warrant further punishment. Kathy was haplessly caught up in a group she believed in and obeyed Raniere because he told her to do so, without the intent to harm others.
I doubt that any of these women, except perhaps Nancy, would have been criminals on their own. They were led by a master who placed them in harm’s way when it all could have been easily avoided.
With a felony record and a great deal of notoriety, I doubt that these women are much of a risk to society. I am pretty sure some probation conditions prohibiting certain conduct – like providing therapy services or forming self-help, or life coaching companies or operating MLMs, or joining any sororities led by a man, and no more naked pictures – should keep society safe.
If deterrence is a potent argument for prison time, then sentence them each to one year and a day – so the judge can say they all went to prison – then let them loose, sadder but wiser, to go and sin no more.
I hate cults and want them all to do hard-time. Then again, 80 million Americans joined the Trump cult and they all got off scot-free.
You must get paid by some idiot entity to give an opinion of shit. All these individuals need to die in jail. Period. They arent above the law n theyre not entitled to any pity.
“I predict, two to four years for Lauren, 5 to 7 for Allison, 5 to 9 for Nancy, and for Kathy, 1-3 years.”
Anything less than 20 years for Nancy would be a travesty. This woman created and wrote the ‘tech’ for the group to follow and then spearheaded the programming of the people in that group. KAR wasn’t smart enough to do what she did. He was evil, he was a predator, but he sure as hell wasn’t smart enough to maintain high control without a henchman and that henchman (or henchwoman) was Nancy. She deserves to go to jail for a minimum of 20 years.
Lauren and Alison deserve at least ten each, minimum. I don’t care how much KAR has been renounced, these women funneled women to him and branded them on top of it under the guise of female empowerment when it was little more than an exercise in imprisonment. I do not doubt that KAR orchestrated all of it and the majority of it all was his warped ideas but these women executed it all – and took pictures and recorded it all while doing so. 2-4 and 5-7 is nowhere near enough, no matter how much remorse has been shown (at least on Lauren’s part, Mack went and joined a college course on sex and liberation or something like that, that speaks volumes as to where her head remains).
Kathy will probably get a year, time served. I’ll be surprised if she actually gets physical jail time. She’s not a ‘name’ and her endeavors were nowhere near as heinous; heinous, yes, just not AS heinous.
Sure pedophile cell blocks are safe.
Keith is a boy-toy now. 😂
Do all prisoners now have illegal cell phone service prisons? It does seem ubiquitous.
Is it possible that Allison gave information that helped the prosecutors not as a witness during the trial, but behind the scenes? I don’t know if that’s a thing or not.
Yes, Allison Mack made a plea deal with the prosecution and shared evidence. She most definitely did aid the prosecution to some extent.
I wouldn’t say “gave”. She would have been questioned by law enforcement. Her premises searched. Phone and computers seized. Bank and phone records gone through.
The prosecution got the information from her with or without her cooperation.
Keep in mind that she planned to fight the charges and only pleaded guilty at the last minute. The prosecution, to her, was the enemy.
I’m responding to Claviger’s post about giving defendants credit for time served on home confinement (this post is too long to respond in the narrow area below his final ‘nested’ comment). Let’s see if Claviger has the BALLS to respond. 🙂
Day-for-day credit for home confinement?
Not in a million years will that happen.
Pre-trial home confinement does not deserve any credit towards JAIL TIME SERVED, precisely because it would quickly be abused (by attorneys and clients) IF that ever happened.
Well-heeled defendants in serious or complex cases can easily drag out their case for a long time, even adding a couple years to their trial date —— by instructing their attorneys to file every possible pre-trial motion allowed, while also appealing any of the judge’s pre-trial decisions which can be appealed, no matter how frivolous the issue.
Well-heeled clients could also fire their legal team just before trial (or purposely create a conflict of interest) which would give them even more extra time to get a new legal team up to speed, pushing their trial date forward again.
Clients could also purposely give themselves a bacterial infection (quite easily) and make themselves very sick right before trial, causing a rescheduling of their trial date and adding another 6 months to their ‘time served’ at home.
This would open up a new scam industry for people looking to get credit for jail time without going to jail.
Even my esteemed colleague, Mr. Frank Parlato, has managed to stretch-out his own trial date from 2015 to 2021 (due to many appeals and other things).
BTW: I’m not that saying Frank’s appeals weren’t legit (since I know he’s got a real chance at winning his case and I know that the government’s charges against him are very weak). I’m just saying that if somebody wants to stretch out their trial date for years, they can easily do that if they have the resources.
Therefore, well-heeled defendants (assigned to pre-trial home confinement) could drag out their ‘credit’ for time served (on home confinement) for a long time —- while living in a nice mansion and eating gourmet food all day long.
Sure, it would be a huge downgrade to their posh lifestyle (no golfing & parties, etc). But compared to living in a VIOLENT and STINKY PRISON (with cockroach-infested food) —- living at home would be HEAVEN for any well-heeled client.
What about giving HALF credit for home confinement? Nope. Wrong again.
You’re forgetting that prison is at least 100 TIMES WORSE than living at home, by anybody’s standards.
Home confinement is not HALF as bad as prison. It’s 100 times better than prison.
Nobody in their right mind would say that living at home is HALF as bad as prison, except flaming liberals looking to change the law for their own ideological reasons.
Thus, I’d be okay with giving credit for 1/100th time served (for home confinement) — which means 100 days of home confinement counts as 1 day served in prison. Maybe even 1/50th credit, if the defendant lives in a filthy apartment and not a mansion.
I agree to that. Done deal. Let’s make it law. Yes?
But I sure as fuck wouldn’t agree to “HALF credit” for home confinement, since nobody in their right mind would agree to such warped logic.
Does Frank agree with me? Or is he gonna be silent on this issue too?
Have a nice day. 🙂
PS — Claviger’s comment that home confinement already counts as time served at the END of a sentence is NOT relevant to this discussion.
Because that’s just another form of PAROLE at the end of a sentence, no matter what they call it.
They could just as easily put the prisoner on parole without home confinement, as many states do.
It’s not the same thing AFTER a defendant has already weathered the storm of serving years in actual prison and is let out a bit early on home confinement.
Try again, Claviger.
If I thought it would make any difference, I would respond to the total lack of merit to your “argument” — and I use that word in its broadest sense. Instead, I’ll simply point out that there is no such thing as parole in the federal criminal justice system. Apparently, you haven’t heard about this new internet thing that allows even fools like you to sound like they know what they’re talking about by doing a few simple searches (Ask Shadowstate, that’s really his go-to source of knowledge for just about anything).
—internet thing that allows even fools like you to sound like they know what they’re talking about
Bangkok, please excuse me for using the lingo from my childhood….
….Do you feel burnt?
It will be interesting to hear from the next prison update – if achievable – whether Clare has started to admit to herself the disavowal was a mistake not just because of the sentencing consequences but for how this long term association effectively ruined her existence.
I expect very heavy sentences for all but Russell. Judge Garaufis has not been lenient in handing out prison terms in this case and I agree with him.
Bottom line: this was a long-running criminal sex trafficking organization. Women were being blackmailed and their bodies branded. Excuses and qualifications evaporate before that bare inescapable fact.
I expect very heavy sentences for Allison and Nancy. Well over the recommended guidelines. Particularly in the case of the former, who was directly and enthusiastically involved in DOS. My guess for her is ~18 years.
It’s what they deserve. Such a sentence would be due justice.
Lauren deserves a long sentence too, but likely will get credit for testifying. That’s how the system works and I’m okay with that.
Kathy might get away with probation or a light prison term. On the other hand, Judge G might be in a hangin’ mood.
As for what they say at their sentencing, that will have little effect. Nor should it. It’s what they DID, not what they say about it now. It’s easy to act repentant after you’re caught. How many times has Garaufis heard that song & dance, d’you suppose? He knows they’ll have been coached by their lawyers on what to say. Don’t expect him to be swayed by those last-minute theatrics.
And remember that Mack was caught collecting highly personal information on vulnerable college women while on house arrest. It’s likely her probation officer noted that in her pre-sentencing report and the judge knows. Again, it’s what she did, not what she says.
One final note. It’s normal as time goes by for attitudes to soften. Water under the bridge, etc. Well, that’s not how justice works. Justice grinds slow but exceedingly fine. It’s not about anger subsiding because justice is not about anger in the first place. Whether the crime is fresh or the crime is years past, it’s the same crime, and the same punishment.
It’s time to pay the piper and these criminals are going to pay a heavy price indeed.
Mack was caught collecting personal info on college girls while under house arrest?? Can I read this somewhere? I know she was booted out of an online course.
Vice, Sept. 30 2020:
Mack attended “a summer course that involved deep discussions of personal trauma, a fact the student was horrified to learn only after the class was over. “She’s taking classes with women who are the age that she used to seek people out to recruit—exactly the demographic that she used to target,” the student told VICE.”
I agree with your predicted sentencing. Nancy might get a little less because of the illness.
A part of me says “time served”.
Another part of me suspects they would be joining NC and others, and dancing in front of courthouses, if it is time served.
NC and others, in my opinion, did no favors to anyone by showing the world she’s still in this group’s clutches.
I understand the sentiment of what you’re saying – but I also want to make it clear to Frank Report readers that Nancy, Lauren, Allison, and Kathy have yet to earn any “time-served” credit. That’s because the federal government gives zero credit for the time that a pre-trial defendant — or a post-trial defendant — spends on home confinement/house arrest. That still seems inherently wrong to me since anyone who is in such a placement clearly has lost a great deal of freedom — which is why I advocate giving one-half a day of “time-served” credit for each day that a defendant has been on home confinement/house arrest.
What say you, Frank Report readers?
Maybe a quarter of a day. I’m not feeling that generous.
I wasn’t talking just about the NXIVM co-defendants — my proposal would apply to all people who are on pre-trial home confinement/house arrest.
I agree if your talking about nonviolent and nonsexual crimes.
Of course…Most of those charged with sexual crimes and violent crimes will be on pre-trial detention in prison — where, just like Keith, they will earn full credit for each day they are there. What I’m talking about are non-violent offenders who have been deemed to be flight risks — and who, therefore, are put in highly restrictive home confinement arrangements.
I have absolutely no positive feelings about Clare Bronfman — and think she got off lightly with the 81-month sentence (Given her prominent role in NXIVM, I think the Feds should have pushed for a RICO charge and conviction for her). But I still think that she should have gotten some credit for the 2+ years she was under a very tight home confinement situation.
6 to 8 months credit would have been fair.
Keep in mind she has a posh residence. Not nearly as bad as a small crappy Bronx apartment
What I say is, don’t do the crime if you’re not prepared to do the time. There’s a saying…”If you’re gonna be dumb, ya gotta be tough”. They’ll figure it out. Lol
Living at home is nothing like serving time behind bars. No way is it even half as bad. Snooze on the couch, cable TV, snacks, music, food delivery, gourmet cookery if you’re into that, hobbies, unlimited phone time, privacy, comfy chair, play with the dog. With permission go out to church, run errands, exercise outdoors.
Sure beats a shared concrete cell, a buzzing fluorescent light and a weekly gang shower. Beats it all to hell.
I 100% agree with your comparison. But when someone has spent two years in their house with an ankle monitor on — and has been only allowed to go outside for a few hours per week during that entire time — it seems to me like they should some sort of partial credit towards their sentence. I’ve never argued that the credit should be 1-day = 1-day — and you could probably talk me down from my suggestion of 1-day = 1/2-day — but I definitely believe there should be some sort of credit for PRE-TRIAL home confinement/house arrest.
BTW, you may not know this but federal prisoners often get day-for-day credit for home confinement time that they spend at the end of their sentence. So, why shouldn’t they get at least partial credit for similar time they spend before they go to prison?
You get to go out way more than an hour or two a week. During covid they probably did not do many “home visits” read: any. Which they virtually never do anyway unless you have a PO who checks on you.
The monitoring company does not come to your house beyond set up and installation. They might report tampering and infractions to the court. But they are not your direct enforcer. They are a separate entity you pay to watch you.
You make a weekly or monthly schedule and account for where you go. You actually kinda set your own schedule. With approval. You can work. Go to school. AA. Church. Doctors. Shopping. Lawyers. Exercise. Drive your kids to school. And on and on…
They almost NEVER check your GPS to see if you are where you said. You would be. Usually only if there is trouble. There are so many people being monitored. If you f up they might THEN pull up your records.
You can be out of the house until your curfew. Like 10 p.m. or whatever was agreed upon.
The equipment malfunctions a lot. You
Have to call in when it does…
You.may or may not have to go in and have your bracelet serviced. You may or may not have a case worker.
You are allegedly limited with visitors… But come on. People don’t follow it.
You can party if you’re not drug and alcohol restricted and tested.
It is NOTHING like being incarcerated.
States may vary. This is a. General California overview. So Allison Mack may or may not be under similar circumstances. Obviously, cases can vary.
Nancy Salzman and Lauren Salzman are not house bound. They can and do go to the store, doctor appointments, the bank etc. Clare was more house bound with restrictions during the day.
Something to ponder:
Not everyone has equal amenities in their domicile.
I agree. I think home confinement should definitely count for something. And I agree with you as to how you would sentence them if you were the judge.
It’s a different experience if you live in a posh condominium with amenities and a people to bring you everything you need.
RICO sentencing guidelines are based primarily on the amount of money involved in the case. The sex trafficking guidelines contain numerous and draconian enhancements. There are many unknowns in this sentencing and the mandatory maximum is only a technical possibility. Mack is a first offender with a low offender category and will receive a downward departure for acceptance of responsibility as well as cooperation, which will lower her sentence. But there are also factors that do not bode well for Allison Mack. The judge will evaluate the relevant conduct in this case and see the sex offenses as a departure upward, even though Allison Mack did not plead to those particular offenses. And Mack’s relevant conduct does not look good for her and will be detrimental to her. Given the severity of the harm caused and her role in the victimization of women, Mack’s sentence is likely to be very severe. Judge Garaufis will evaluate all relevant factors and impose a sentence that he deems appropriate.
And so I will wait to see what the judge decides, and only then reconsider my own assessment of this case.
Allison Mack could say that she is not a bad person and all people make mistakes and that people and herself are neither purely good or purely bad, but agathokakological, a mixture of both, without that making her a bad person, but just a person who made wrong choices at a certain point in time, took a wrong path that she should not take and is very sorry for it all and asks forgiveness from all the victims she has harmed.
“people make mistakes” Anonymous
Yes, many young women brand other women with hot irons, collect blackmail and lure women into sexual slavery.
You never met my Grandma!
Let the heavy hand of the federal court drop down upon these oxygen thieves! Here’s to “fingers crossed for the maximums!”
Allison will have to summon all of her very limited and out of practice acting skills to show a level of contriteness to avoid a massive sentence. Recently a lady got 30 days for spitting on another (anti masker nonsense). The reason in part was her statement to the court showed only concern about the negative impact the incident caused her own life and family but made no mention of what she thought might have done to lady spit on. Mack’s statement will have to walk the line of only showing concern for others whlie not quite reminding Example would be say “I now see my many and detailed conversations with Keith discussing the branding of his harm was ill conceived, immoral, and showed no concern for the damage it would do to these woman.” Sounds contrite but reminds the judge that she had many opportunities to not do a bad thing and ignored those chances. Walking that line…. well she needs to find a good political writer to craft their best work ever. Considering how sentencing has gone up to this point, anything less than 10 years will be a bizarre form of victory for Mack.
According to Enty Lawyer, on the Ed Opperman show I posted below, Hunter Biden is holding an art gallery show in NYC and Edgar Bronfman junior agreed to buy any Hunter Biden paintings that do not sell.
Frank Report has written a number of stories based on blind items written by Enty Lawyer in Crazy Days and Nights.
Here is a newly posted radio interview with Enty Lawyer on the radio show of Ed Opperman.
Opperman is a Vegas P I with a radio show.
Enty Lawyer :Crazy days and Nights
I agree with you, Frank. Nancy, Lauren, Allison, and Kathy should be on probation. I do not believe a prison sentence would do them any good. Placing someone behind bars isn’t rehabilitating them, it’s further traumatizing them.
The only one who has spent a weekend in jail is Mack. The others, Nancy, Lauren, Kathy have not spent a day in jail. It’s time for them to rehabilitate in prison, not freedom.
Excellent point — And because she was actually imprisoned — as opposed to being on home confinement/house arrest for those days — Allison will get full credit for them against whatever sentence she gets.
PS: All the remaining co-defendants will also get one day of “prison credit” for the day they were arrested/
Nancy, Lauren, and Kathy will be thrilled about this one day of credit toward their prison sentence.
Allison Mack can really be happy about this, because it’s very rewarding for her. Allison, the lucky child. Who would have thought it?!
Prison is punitive. People forget that. It is NOT just about rehabilitation.
Not saying I agree or disagree with that reality.
Yes, there are now ways to improve yourself ( college, learn a trade etc) but that is not really even what the justice system pretends to be, entirely.
The death penalty is one example.
Unfortunately, the Bureau of Prisons has pretty much eliminated all of its education-related and trade-related programs, thus making it very difficult for federal prisoners to earn college credits — or to learn a trade — while they’re incarcerated. About the only educational program still offered by the BOP is a mandatory GED Program for federal inmates who have not graduated from high school (Those GED classes are taught by other inmates).
Although several state prison systems do offer college credit courses and training for a variety of trades, many of those programs have been put “on hold” because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Hopefully, they will be reinstituted once all the prisoners in a given prison have been vaccinated.
Allison Mack has already been sentenced in the all important court of public opinion.
Just look at this headline:
Allison Mack Quits ‘Gender, Sex and Power’ Class at UC Berkeley Amid Protest of Students Unhappy With Sex-Slaver as Classmate
What does it say about Allison Mack that young women don’t even want to take a Zoom class with her?
How about this story
Video: Allison Mack Attends ‘Gender and Women’s Studies’ Class and Is ‘Super Participatory’
“And you’re like, “Oh my god, holy shit this isn’t her. And then you look up an interview and you’re like, ‘Oh wait this is her. This is the same person that carved her initials into women’s bodies.’”
Trying to rehabilitate Allison Mack’s reputation is like putting lipstick and perfume on a pig.
Mack ought to be quite splendid at putting lipstick on a pig. She could chew the courtroom scenery like Scarlett O’Hara’s hapless weeping rival for that wretched Ashley Wilkes. Remember Melanie Hamilton and all of her damned bonnets and matronly gowns? Yikes.
Mack could pull up her petticoat and show her autographed, branded hoochie nether regions to the judge, have a fit and drool for mercy. It isn’t all that polite to say anything much about cankles, since those could be genetic. Right, Shadow?
Poor sub-lieutenant Mack will not receive a tiara. The unterleutnant(e?) of the pervboy and one of the semi-inadequate and dim replacement bulbs for that dead procuress of Raniere’s, the independently wealthy Pam Cafritz, poor Mack the whackamole will never be queen for a day.. Mack was never slated to fill those 3 legged pants, the ones Pam liked the best. Mack is just not sexy. Okay. She’s not ugly, just not a vamp. Why she wanted to bask in Raniere’s reflected power and to flaunt it over other women and to abuse them is anyone’s guess.
As testified to by more than one witness at Raniere’s trial, Mack misrepresented DOS to other women to recruit them into Raniere’s ready supply of porno, with the inclusion of demanding collateral and bossing “her” slaves around day and night and SO much more.
To imagine that Allison Mack was not aware of what she was doing makes her sound mentally handicapped, unable to figure her way out of a paper bag on her own. Prison is a terrible option to wish on somebody, and Mack didn’t go to trial. Locking her in a convent would be too traumatic for the nuns, especially for the elderly ones. So prison it will be, eh?
Frank placed his bets tonight about the awaited, remaining sentencings. Of course, these four defendants made plea bargains, and then Frank kind of hedged all of his estimates on the side of leniency. Each convict has been waiting a long time under house arrest. That house arrest time doesn’t lessen their sentences automatically, since all entered guilty pleas.
It is good not to be Judge Garaufis. He must’ve wanted this job, though.
Nxivm reads like the old movie, Soap Dish, only made to look like a remake of Halloween. So Allison could still get work after all of this is over. She and John Travolta and can do a remake of The Boy in the Plastic Bubble, and Kirstie Alley can gallop through the Bubble in a cameo role as their axe murderer.
Let’s think positive, Shadow, as the saying goes.
A Unterleutnant zur See existed in the Imperial Navy until 1898, it corresponded to the Seconde-Lieutenant of the German Army. In the Reichswehr, the Wehrmacht and the Bundeswehr, the rank of sub-lieutenant did not exist at any time.
Übersicht über die Dienstgrade der deutschen Wehrmacht, der Waffen-SS, der deutschen Polizei und der SA sowie der U.S. Army und der Royal Air Force und des österreichischen Bundesheeres zum Vergleich
Overview of the ranks of the German Wehrmacht, Waffen-SS, German Police and SA, as well as the U.S. Army and Royal Air Force and the Austrian Armed Forces for comparison.
Extract in another form taken from: https://www.uibk.ac.at/zeitgeschichte/zis/library/dienstgrade.html
Wehrmacht (Heer / Luftwaffe): Leutnant
Wehrmacht (Kriegsmarine): Leutnant zur See
Polizei und Gendarmerie: Leutnant
U.S. Army: Second Lieutenant
Royal Air Force: Pilot Officer
Österreich heute [ Austria today]: Leutnant
Wehrmacht (Heer / Luftwaffe): Oberleutnant
Wehrmacht (Kriegsmarine): Oberleutnant zur See
Polizei und Gendarmerie: Oberleutnant
U.S. Army: First Lieutenant
Royal Air Force: Flying Officer
Österreich heute [ Austria today]: Oberleutnant
Mark my words… Allison will NOT repudiate Keith as being ‘evil’ or a ‘monster’ at her sentencing. Not in a million years.
She will give a polished & vaguely worded statement (likely written by her attorneys) which will sound similar to the statement she read at her plea deal acceptance.
She will say that she was ‘misguided’ in her actions.
She will say that she’s sorry for the harm she caused to her victims.
She will say that she wishes she could “take it back” if she could.
However, she will NOT condemn Keith as an evil human being. She will NOT say that she regrets ever meeting Keith. She will NOT say that Keith’s teachings are immoral and wrong. She will simply remain silent on that topic, just like at her plea deal hearing.
How do I know this?
Because Nicki Clyne still speaks fondly of Allison. Nicki recently said that her time apart from Allison has been very hard. Nicki would NOT have said this IF Allison had truly turned against Keith (like Lauren has done).
Why? Because Nicki worships Keith beyond all else —- and she’d never tolerate a ‘friend’ who didn’t feel the same way.
That’s precisely why Nicki doesn’t speak fondly of Lauren —– because Lauren trashed Keith on the witness stand. That’s an unforgivable sin to Nicki Clyne.
Frank doesn’t pick up on these OBVIOUS things, even though he’s supposedly an investigative journalist covering NXIVM.
Thus, Nicki and Allison are still on the same side — which means Allison cannot call Keith ‘evil’ at her sentencing. It won’t happen. I’d bet my life on that.
Case Closed. Frank is wrong. Mark my words.
Also, Lauren will not get 2-4 years as Frank says. Frank is a retard.
She’ll get 12 months (possibly 18 months max) due to her cooperation.
Allison will get 7 years at least. Her hands are too dirty and she didn’t disavow or repudiate Keith’s teachings, like Lauren has done.
Nancy will get 5 years even though she deserves 20 years (cuz she’s Lauren’s mom and this judge likes Lauren a lot). The judge must not keep mama bear away from baby bear for too long, else baby bear may be forlorn.
Thus, Frank and Claviger are WRONG (as usual). Both will have egg on their face when I’m proven right.
PS — While I think Lauren is a lovely woman who deserves leniency, her nose is way too fucken huge to view her as a ‘dream girl’ as various commenters like to say. She needs a nose job. Period. I’ve been saying that for years. Also, she’s way too short to be a ‘dream girl’. I defend her because she repudiated Keith as a bad guy on the witness stand.
PPS — I know someone who may be trying to organize a Bukkake on the east coast later this summer, possibly in Philly or Beantown. If Niceguy’s wife wants to volunteer, I can probably make it happen. 🙂 🙂
Have a nice day.
Nice post, Tardo ! Like it !
Allison Mack absolutely deserves the FULL 40 years in prison but I would celebrate if she gets 20. 20 would still completely ruin her life and would seem like 50 years to a privileged brat like her. She should have been in prison for at least a year now and using COVID as any excuse whatsoever why she hasn’t been sentenced yet is absolutely pathetic. LOCK HER UP! And yes, throw away the keys. WELD that door shut. Then no TV, no phone, nothing to entertain her at all. And my opinion is prisoners should not be allowed to masturbate whatsoever. Make her go without the entire sentence.